Calculating population-based indicators for monitoring progress towards education goals depends on having reliable and high-quality population data for the number of students at each age-group and...,
, In this blog, we will explore the size of the changes in population estimates and the potential implications for indicator values, while ensuring that the data for the UIS core indicators system,..., Recent revisions to the UNPD global population estimates in the World Population Prospects (WPP) 2022 have made this issue even more urgent. Figure 1 illustrates the new projections by age group. The..., Figure 1 New projections of world population by age group
, Source: UNPD, World Population Prospects 2022
Table 1 shows the increase in the SAP since the previous revision (WPP 2019), along with the absolute and relative differences. The methodological...,
, Revisions to the UNPD statistical methodology include change to the reference date, the framework of age groupings, age range, and assumptions about migration and population exposures. While the..., This becomes clear when comparing both WPP 2019 with WPP 2022 for a 1 July reference date see the last column of Table 1. The comparison results in a relative increase for primary-aged SAP of 2.7%, a..., Impact on UIS population-based indicators
Given the large change in the UNPD modelling estimates and their impact on population-based indicators, the UIS is working towards finding a solution to..., Why is this important? The variation in the UNPD estimates and country administrative data implies different results for indicators whose denominator uses UNPD estimates, for example enrolment rates..., To be clear, let’s take the example of Country A reflected in Table 2. Country A in 2020 had 100 students in the official age-group corresponding to a given level of education (the observed headcount..., This simple example using a hypothetical Country A summarizes the challenge the UIS faces, as the new UNPD estimates have additional implications to the operational ones related to substituting one...,
, These questions are relevant for producing coherent and consistent education indicators. Prior to our September Global Education Data Release, the UIS had already begun the process of exploring the..., To facilitate countries’ requests, the UIS has prepared a proposal including guidance and table format for countries to submit the necessary population data and metadata. Countries’ data must comply..., For now, the UNPD remains the standard source of population data at the UIS as described in the Background Information on Statistics in the UIS Database. Going forward, however, UIS data releases may..., UIS Resources Background
Background Information on Statistics in the UIS Database
SDG 4 Data Explorer
Global Education Observatory
Country profiles
Dashboard to bridge global and regional..., * In addition to being used to calculate SDG 4 population-based indicators, population data are required for the calculation of SDG indicator 9.5.2 (researcher, in full-time equivalent, per million...
